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Part consultancy, part thinktank, part social enterprise, Halcyon helps you prepare for and respond to personal, organisational and societal change.

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To be a catalyst is the ambition most appropriate for those who see the world as being in constant change, and who, without thinking that they control it, wish to influence its direction - Theodore Zeldin

What's Changing? - Geopolitics



Please see below selected recent geopolitical-related change.


See also: Halcyon Politics Headlines


July 2018

  • Emerging markets are once again in the headlines, noted Chatham House. The IMF has announced a $50 billion Standby Agreement for Argentina, the Turkish lira is precarious and investors are unnerved by forthcoming elections in Brazil and Mexico. Against the backdrop of a strengthening dollar and rising interest rates in the US, the question is whether it is likely that there will be a new round of crises in emerging markets or whether the conditions are fundamentally different today from those in the 1980s and 1990s.

  • Few global issues have taken on more current importance than the future of the postwar, rule-based international order, noted Rand, adding that the roots of the order run back to the mid-1940s, when U.S. officials concluded that the United States should work to shape the postwar settlement in more structured, collaborative and rule-bound ways. The resulting global institutions, processes, habits, rules, and norms inspired the rise of regional organisations and became what we now know as the postwar international order. Today, however, warned Rand, that order is under unprecedented strain, both within the societies of its leading members and from revisionist countries determined to change some aspects of how the order functions.


June 2018


May 2018


April 2018

  • Nearly 40 percent of Brazilians would now back a military coup in their country to fight crime and corruption, according to a recent study by Vanderbilt University. 
  • India’s new military budget of $62 billion, unveiled in February, passes an important milestone - for the first time since gaining independence in 1947, India now spends more on defence than its former colonial power in the UK. Globally only America, China, Saudi Arabia and Russia have higher defence budgets than India today.

Sources: GZEROMedia