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Halcyon monitors and analyses key markets, competitors, clients, issues, trends and hot topics. Please contact us to discuss how our insights can help you create value.

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Trends

What May Change in the Future?
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Halcyon In Future 22 September 2017

 

As 2017 moves on, it is worth examining the trends that may impact us all, over the years and decades to come. You can see how such trends may unfold, year by year, below. Please contact us for help in creating value from these trends.

What's Happening? - Conflict

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"Violence has been in decline over long stretches of time and we may be living in the most peaceful time in our species' existence." - Steven Pinker

 

WHY SHOULD YOU CARE?

Every minute eight people flee to escape conflict and persecution, according to the UN.

 

WHAT TRENDS ARE WE SEEING?

Archaeological studies show that societies in the past were very violent. Often more than 10% of deaths were the result of one person killing another. Ethnographic evidence also confirms that violence is very common in nonstate societies and drastically higher than in modern state societies.

 

Why is violence declining? One important change may be improving literacy, while countries with higher educational attainment in the past are more likely to have democratic - and generally therefore peaceful - political regimes today.

See also:

Megatrend Watch - August 2016

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Please see below the most compelling new megatrend headlines over the past month. This edition covers demographic, economic, societal, sustainability, technology and urban trends.

For more information about our megatrend and related products and services, please get in touch.

Dominic Kelleher 

 

What Happened? - Forecasting 2016

2015 saw major global trends, from the Greek sovereign debt crisis and the Chinese stock market meltdown, to the refugee exodus and of course the global terrorist attacks. And it was a record year for deal-making as business confidence recovered. So what will 2016 bring? Throughout January and February Halcyon put together this evolving index of significant forecasts for 2016.

 

META-LEVEL FORECASTS

 

For a "helicopter view" on a wide range of 2016 trends, see e.g.

 

 

 

For a more detailed listing of forecasts regarding the topics that EMEA MI monitors regularly, please see below.