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Risk

What's Happening? - Risk

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Please see below selected recent intelligence about risk. This is a synthesis of major recent developments at competitors, business schools, thinktanks, media, commentators, and other key influencers in our external environment.

 

Q3 (July-August-September)

September 2016

  • Eurasia Group founder Ian Bremmer talked with IMF chief Christine Lagarde about managing risk in a complex world.

Managing Risk in a Volatile World - TGF 2016 - September 12 from IEFA on Vimeo.

 

June 2016

 

  • Eurasia Group noted that euroscepticism is increasingly evident in national politics: China has made clear its intention to further promote its semiconductor industry, focusing on overseas acquisitions this year; Germany's government has agreed to prioritise investment in digitisation; Turkey's new cabinet will prioritise near-term growth, weakening the medium- to long-term outlook; Canada's climate change plan, if approved, would put energy-intensive industry under significant pressure; the Korea Development Bank and the Export-Import Bank of Korea, are feeling the pinch from weak global demand.

 

See also:

 

 

What Happened? - Risk

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Please see below selected pre 2016 intelligence about risk. This is a synthesis of major recent developments at competitors, business schools, thinktanks, media, commentators, and other key influencers in our external environment.

 

December 2015

 

  • Eurasia Group identified its top risks for December 2015, which included the following: despiteChina’s relaxation of the One Child Policy, the workforce will continue to shrink as the population ages, creating more urgency to transition the economy toward higher-end, innovative, and less labour intensive production and services; in Russia, the upcoming election cycle will delay difficult adjustments to tax and pension policy, putting fiscal buffers at risk; and the Conservatives’ commitment to balancing the UK’sbudget by 2020 means deep cuts for innovation and training grants, hampering efforts to address the "productivity gap" with western Europe.

 

 

 

What Might Matter In The Future?

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Global socio-economic, demographic and technological forces will have a sustained and transformative impact on businesses, societies, economies, cultures and our personal lives in years to come, as this 2016 HP video illustrates. 

 

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita's The Predictioneer’s Game: Using the Logic of Brazen Self-Interest to See and Shape the Future presented new ideas on decision-making and learning to come up with reliable predictions to foresee and even engineer the future.

Risk Insights

Please see below selected FY15 and FY16 intelligence about risk. For an archive of further risk-related intelligence over the past five years, please contact Dominic Kelleher. 

These headlines in no way constitute an official PwC point-of-view; rather they simply represent an objective "outside-in" synthesis of major recent developments at competitors, business schools, thinktanks, media, commentators, and other key influencers in our external environment. New content is in bold.

Quote 2885

We may have to wait for years - we may have to wait for ever, if we wait until life is safe - HG Wells

Quote 2884

The edge... the only people who really know where it is are the ones who have gone over - Hunter S. Thompson, http://j.mp/10vLsey

Quote 2883

People wish to learn to swim and at the same time to keep one foot on the ground - Marcel Proust

Quote 2882

Life is always a feather bed or a tighrope.Give me a tightrope - Edith Wharton

Quote 2881

It is when we all play safe that we create a world of utmost insecurity - Dag Hammarskjold, Human Development Report 2013