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Halcyon monitors and analyses key markets, competitors, clients, issues, trends and hot topics. Please contact us to discuss how our insights can help you create value.

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Part consultancy, part thinktank, part social enterprise, Halcyon helps you prepare for and respond to personal, organisational and societal change.

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Peace

What's Happening? - Presence

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A favourite concept of mine is the 200-year present, a way of thinking about change. The 200-year present began 100 years ago with the year of birth of the people who have reach their hundredth birthday today. The other boundary of the 200-year present, 100 years from now, is the hundredth birthday of the babies born today. If you take that span, you and I will have had contact with a lot of people from different parts of that span. So think in terms of events over that span and realise how long change takes. You can see how difficult it has been to create these bodies and new ways and how in many ways we are slipping backward; but in other ways we are not. I take comfort to know that super-power hegemony has a very limited lifespan (decline and fall of Rome, the Ottoman Empire) -  Elise Boulding

What's Happening? - Conflict

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"Violence has been in decline over long stretches of time and we may be living in the most peaceful time in our species' existence." - Steven Pinker

 

WHY SHOULD YOU CARE?

Every minute eight people flee to escape conflict and persecution, according to the UN.

 

WHAT TRENDS ARE WE SEEING?

Archaeological studies show that societies in the past were very violent. Often more than 10% of deaths were the result of one person killing another. Ethnographic evidence also confirms that violence is very common in nonstate societies and drastically higher than in modern state societies.

 

Why is violence declining? One important change may be improving literacy, while countries with higher educational attainment in the past are more likely to have democratic - and generally therefore peaceful - political regimes today.

See also:

On Problem Solving
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Halcyon In Kal… 26 April 2016

Many of the problems the world faces today pre-date the latest conflicts and related refugee crises. Five years ago already...

1. Google asked the global public for ideas to address the following societal issues:

On Waterloo

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Living, as I have done for the past 14 years, just 5km or so from the battlefields of Waterloo, means that I have visited the site often.

Only now, however, following last year's commemorations of the 200th anniversary of the battle, and a visit in March 2016 to the excellent new visitor centre, does its full ongoing significance become clearer to me, not least the suffering of the wounded and dead, many of whose final resting places have never been discovered...RIP all who fought there.

See also:

Quote 2714

Everything we do is infused with the energy with which we do it. If we're frantic, life will be frantic. If we're peaceful, life will be peaceful. And so our goal in any situation becomes inner peace -Marianne Williamson (born 1952)- author, lecturer

Quote 2069

You can't separate peace from freedom because no one can be at peace unless he has his freedom - Malcolm X

Quote 2068

Unless some effective world super-government for the purpose of preventing war can be set up...the prospects for peace and human progress are dark...If it is found possible to build a world organization of irresistible force and inviolable authority for the purpose of securing peace, there are no limits to the blessings which all men may enjoy and share - Winston Churchill