Please see below selected recent conflict-related change.
See also: Halcyon Conflict Headlines
- WW1 killed roughly 16 million people. WW2 around 55 million. But while the global population rose from 3 to 7 billion between 1960 and 2010, the number of war related deaths fell to 180,000 per year during the Cold war, 100,000 per year during the 1990s and 55,000 per year between 2000 and 2010, noted The Economist.
- The United States signed foreign arms deals worth $46.9 billion during the first half of the fiscal year. That already exceeds the $41.9 billion in weapons deals agreed to during all of fiscal 2017.
- US special operations forces have carried out missions in 133 countries so far this year. America’s shadow wars continue to expand with little transparency or oversight from elected officials, warned GZEROMedia.
- The Future of Information Warfare report from CB Insights covers malware, from fake media, to computational propaganda, weaponised memes and more.
Is it possible that morals, religions and ideologies, rather than causing violence, actually help in limiting warfare by facilitating humans to build larger social groups. All too often ideas and values are used to justify or interpret warfare but perhaps it is subconscious desires, shaped by millions of years of evolution, that drive people to fight and, what is more, enjoy doing so. What might this mean for traditional conflict avoidance, counterterrorism and conflict resolution policies, asked Chatham House?
International partners face increasingly complex and intractable conflicts, which pose huge policy challenges. As conflicts in Syria, Yemen, Libya rage on, posing huge challenges for the international community, is it time to rethink its approach to reducing conflict and building peace, asked Chatham House?
In almost every one of 27 countries recently polled by IPSOS for the BBC, people said that their countries have grown more divided over the past decade and it looked at what people said was the most polarising issue in their country.
- Our World in Data analysed conflicts in which at least one party was the government of a state and which generated more than 25 battle-related deaths are included. The data refer to direct violent deaths. Deaths due to disease or famine caused by conflict are excluded. Extra-judicial killings in custody are also excluded.
- Latin America suffered 38 percent of the world’s criminal homicides last year, despite accounting for just 8 percent of the world’s population. Rapid urbanisation, corruption, drug trafficking, and a huge influx of US guns all contribute.
- Every minute eight people flee to escape conflict and persecution, according to the UN.
- It will be political conflict - not economics - that drives markets in 2018 and beyond - Ray Dalio quoted in Financial Times
- Financier Ray Dalio warned in 2018 that the proportion of the vote captured by populist candidates had risen from about 7 per cent in 2010 to 35 per cent in 2017. This swing has apparently only ever happened once before, in the 1930s, just before the second world war.
- Violence has been in decline over long stretches of time and we may be living in the most peaceful time in our species' existence - Steven Pinker
- Archaeological studies show that societies in the past were very violent. Often more than 10% of deaths were the result of one person killing another. Ethnographic evidence also confirms that violence is very common in nonstate societies and drastically higher than in modern state societies.
- Why is violence declining? One important change may be improving literacy, while countries with higher educational attainment in the past are more likely to have democratic - and generally therefore peaceful - political regimes today.
- As the Theory of Democratic Peace predicts, there has been a corresponding decline of war deaths.
- Start the Week discussed how World War II still grips the public imagination, arguing that no other period in history has presented greater dilemmas for both leaders and ordinary people.