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Part consultancy, part thinktank, part social enterprise, Halcyon helps you prepare for and respond to personal, organisational and societal change.

Halcyon's forthcoming 52:52:52 campaign on Twitter will help you address 52 issues with 52 responses over 52 weeks.

To be a catalyst is the ambition most appropriate for those who see the world as being in constant change, and who, without thinking that they control it, wish to influence its direction - Theodore Zeldin

2014

What's Changing? - Society

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Please see below recent society-related change.

 

June 2018

  • Without succumbing to politically-motivated "Big Society" mantras, we can nevertheless realise that there is a huge untapped potential in civil society and the individuals within it. If we listened more to the surviving members of the "make do and mend" generation that got through the 1930s, WWII and its bleak aftermath, might we learn again not just self-sufficiency, but also a way of pulling together towards a common purpose? But what should that common purpose be anyway?  The fat years (for some) of recent times seemed to lead to increasing isolation from one another, as we retreated inside both our traditional brick and our new digital fortresses, so who is now going to articulate a non-utopian shared vision of what "getting better" should mean for society as a whole?

 

January 2018

  • What would it take to build a more just society? In contemporary debates about justice, identity is frequently front and centre, but the 20th-century American philosopher John Rawls thought that looking past identity was the key to more equality. In his book A Theory of Justice (1971), Rawls argued that if we could build a society from behind a ‘veil of ignorance’ that kept us from knowing anything about our identity, we would make choices resulting in a fairer society than we now have – one in which all would benefit from greater freedom and ‘fair equality of opportunity’.

 

See also:

2018

January 2018

 

2017

 

July 2017

Battling modern slavery - Raconteur
Buying time promotes happiness - PNAS
Future Workplace Special Report Published in The Times
How will you drive talent strategy in the digital age?
How work changed to make us all passionate quitters | Aeon Essays
Independent work: Choice, necessity, and the gig economy | McKinsey & Company
India is a migration superpower. Here's why | World Economic Forum
Jinfo Blog: Jinfo for knowledge management
Policymaking must become more empathetic rather than continuing its current overreliance on economic measures - LSE
Preparing for a new era of work | McKinsey & Company
Superfluid Labor Markets — Tapping Into Skilled Talent Anywhere and Everywhere - EYQ
The cost of universal basic income might be lower than you think | World Economic Forum
The Era of Ownership Is Ending - Futurism
The World's Broken Workplace | Gallup
These are the most peaceful countries in the world | World Economic Forum
This is how a universal basic income can end financial exclusion | World Economic Forum
Universal basic income could work in Southeast Asia — but only if it goes to women | Responsible Business
You might not believe it, but the world just got a bit more peaceful | World Economic Forum
Navigating through new forms of work | Deloitte University Press
Navigating the future of work | Deloitte University Press
The changing nature of careers in the 21st century | Deloitte University Press
Tom Friedman interview: Jobs, learning, and the future of work | Deloitte University Press
Workforce of the future - The competing forces shaping 2030:PwC

 

August 2017

 

Inadequate sleep costs employers $7 billion a year: How to look after your employees' wellbeing - Deloitte
The cost of universal basic income might be lower than you think | World Economic Forum
The future of jobs: is decent work for all a pipe dream? | Tim Jackson | Global Development Professionals Network | The Guardian
The rise of philanthropic investing - Raconteur

 

September 2017

 

'Inspirational' robots to begin replacing teachers within 10 years
British Social Attitudes: Record number of Brits with no religion
The 'internet of things' is sending us back to the Middle Ages
Why economic growth doesn't mean social progress | World Economic Forum

 

October 2017

 

Globalisation: what people think - Raconteur

 

November 2017

 

Companies That Lead on Societal Impact Reap Financial Benefits - BCG
IGP's Social Prosperity Network publishes the UK's first report on Universal Basic Services | UCL Institute for Global Prosperity - UCL - London's Global University
Refugees are not the creators of the crisis. They are the victims | World Economic Forum
Robots will drive us to rethink how work is distributed - FT
The 2017 Best for the World Honorees 846 Companies Leading the Way to a Shared and Durable Prosperity for All - BCorp
The progressive case for immigration - Free exchange
The rise of inequality: Can it be reversed? | LinkedIn
To fix income inequality, we need more than UBI—we need Universal Basic Assets — Quartz
What the future of work will mean for jobs, skills, and wages | McKinsey & Company
Women in the Workplace 2017 | McKinsey & Company

 

December 2017

 

10 Trends Shaping Migration - European Commission
AI isn't just taking away our privacy—it's take away free choice, too — Quartz
Inequality is a threat to our democracies - FT
What does your country think about globalization? | World Economic Forum
What the future of work will mean for jobs, skills, and wages: Jobs lost, jobs gained | McKinsey & Company
 

2016

October

 

September

 

August

 

July

 

May-June 

 

April

 

 

On Leonard Cohen

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"So come, my friends, be not afraid.
We are so lightly here.
It is in love that we are made;
In love we disappear."

Happy posthumous birthday, Lenny.

You tried, in your way, to be free. Thank you. Now go join that great gig in the sky. So I wrote a year ago, when Lenny left us. However, the legend lives on - listen for example to How the Light Gets In.

'We Love Leonard Cohen' celebrated his 81st Birthday, and then, for his 82nd and final birthday, Leonard gave us a present. "You Want It Darker" is the title track to last album, his 14th studio album in his 49-year recording career. (See also Leonard Cohen Makes it Darker.)

"Leonard Cohen offers the possibility of living with grace, dignity, and integrity, without submitting to illusions, without succumbing to indifference, and without indulging in denial of our own failures and flaws, in a world that is too often corrupt and malevolent" - Allan Showalter

What's Happening? - Economics

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Please see below selected recent economics-related intelligence. This is a synthesis of major recent developments at corporates, business schools, thinktanks, media, commentators, and other key influencers.

 

Q3 (July-August-September) 2016

 

June 2016

 

  • PwC's Economics team launched its monthly Global Economy Watch for June. This month, PwC economists indicate that productivity growth in Ireland and Spain – the top performing peripheraleconomies in the Eurozone – has outstripped that in Germany, France and the Netherlands. But sectoral fortunes have been mixed, with PwC analysis showing that in several Eurozone economies, productivity in the manufacturing sector has grown at a relatively rapid rate. Meanwhile, figures reveal that the eurozone economy grew faster than the US in the first quarter of 2016. But PwC analysis shows that the economic - and to a greater extent, the labour market - recovery has been uneven. For example, the range of unemployment rates in the eurozone at this stage of the recovery is the highest it has ever been compared to past recoveries.

 

 

  • The United Nations cut its global growth forecast for 2016 to 2.4% from its forecast 2.9% in December; however it is attributed largely to the downward revisions for Africa. Global growth is projected to rise marginally to 2.8% in 2017, remaining below pre-crisis trends. The protracted period of slow productivity growth and weak investment weigh on the longer-term potential of the global economy.

  • In its latest twice yearly global assessment, the OECD warned that the world economy is “stuck in a low-growth trap”. The organisation said monetary policy alone could no longer be relied on to deliver growth and governments should be using the fiscal tools at their disposal, such as increases in investment spending, to stimulate demand. It also pointed to several downside risks to global growth, the most immediate of which would be if Britain votes to leave the European Union in a referendum on June 23rd.

 

See also:

 

 

What's Happening? - EY

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Please see below selected recent intelligence about EY.

 

July-August-September 2016

Strategy

Legal

 

People

 

 

June 2016

 

  • EY launches legal offering in Chile and Argentina and hired a partner from Norton Rose Fulbright in Toronto to lead its Canadian business law team. The accountant has hired Jorge Garnier from Argentine power company Genneia, where he was senior legal counsel, as an executive director to build a team focusing on corporate law. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

What Happened? - Economics

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Please see below selected pre-2016 economics-related intelligence. This is a synthesis of major recent developments at corporates, business schools, thinktanks, media, commentators, and other key influencers.

 

December 2015

 

  • Based on historic patterns of the business cycle, the current expansion has lasted longer than the average gap between recessions. It's prudent to start thinking about where the next recession might come from and emerging market corporate debt is a likely contender, warned the EIU. Ultra-low interest rates in the US, EU, UK and Japan have made financing conditions pretty easy for a lot of emerging market corporates in recent years, and many have taken the chance to borrow on international markets to get access to this cheap finance. In 2010-12, strong local currencies in many commodity exporters, like Brazil and Indonesia, meant that much of this borrowing was in US dollars. Companies in Latin America (especially Brazil), Turkey and South Korea are looking particularly exposed. As interest rates are now on the way up in most countries, and the US dollar is going up against most other currencies, the cost of servicing these loans is rising, and there could be some trouble in 2016. There is less to worry about in China, where little debt is denominated in foreign currency, and much lending is to and from entities that are ultimately state-backed.

 

 

  • The European Commission published its new Circular Economy Package intended to stimulate Europe's transition towards a circular economy to boost global competitiveness, foster sustainable economic growth and generate new jobs. The package consists of an EU Action Plan, a timetable setting out when the actions will be completed and a number of legislative (revised) proposals on waste, setting recycling targets. Press release

 

 

  • The latest edition of PwC's Global Economy Watch looked at whether consumers are going to behave more like Santa and less like Scrooge over the coming few months. Retail turnover suggests good news for retailers – spending on clothes, communications equipment and leisure activities is now growing faster than average spending, and the outlook is positive for 2016.

 

 

 

What Happened? - Marketing

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Please see below selected pre-2016 intelligence about marketing and communication. These headlines represent an objective "outside-in" synthesis of major recent developments at competitors, business schools, thinktanks, media, commentators, and other key influencers. 

 

December 2015

 

 

  • Unified marketing impact analytics (UMIA) promises to apportion credit to all marketing activities, claimed Forrester. Marketers, under pressure to be more accountable for the financial returns of their efforts, embrace this technique, but they often find it difficult to persuade management to make what can be a significant upfront investment. Forrester aims to help customer insights professionals build the business case for UMIA by benchmarking the return on investment (ROI) it provides and outlining the costs, benefits, and risks involved to ensure a successful implementation.