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Part consultancy, part thinktank, part social enterprise, Halcyon helps you prepare for and respond to personal, organisational and societal change.

Halcyon's 52:52:52 campaign on Twitter will help you address 52 issues with 52 responses over 52 weeks.

To be a catalyst is the ambition most appropriate for those who see the world as being in constant change, and who, without thinking that they control it, wish to influence its direction - Theodore Zeldin

A Mundane Comedy is Dominic Kelleher's new book, which will be published in early 2020. We will be publishing extracts on this site and across social media during the last quarter of 2019. Please feel free to contact us with any questions about the book.

Future

On the Singularity

Many are imagining, some even planning for, the coming of the "singularity". Some are for, some against, many others sceptical that it could ever arrive.

Ray Kurzweil, who inter alia works on Google's machine learning project, predicts that by 2029, humans will be extending their lives considerably or even indefinitely. He also believes the human brain could be enhanced by tiny robotic implants that connect to cloud-based computer networks to give us 'God-like' abilities.

What Happened? - Forecasting 2016

2015 saw major global trends, from the Greek sovereign debt crisis and the Chinese stock market meltdown, to the refugee exodus and of course the global terrorist attacks. And it was a record year for deal-making as business confidence recovered. So what will 2016 bring? Throughout January and February Halcyon put together this evolving index of significant forecasts for 2016.

 

META-LEVEL FORECASTS

 

For a "helicopter view" on a wide range of 2016 trends, see e.g.

 

 

 

For a more detailed listing of forecasts regarding the topics that EMEA MI monitors regularly, please see below.

 

 

 

On Self-Tracking

There is a growing trend towards self-tracking and the rise of the "quantified self", suddenly made easier by the ubiquity of embedded sensors.

However, Evgeny Morozov warned during a fascinating recent address that those of us who would refuse to self-track when the majority of people do self-track may be treated with suspicion. The assumption would not be that you refuse to self-track because you want to exercise autonomy or you fear about your privacy, but rather because you are not walking enough or you are not a safe driver or you eat too much fat.

Quote 2389

You sit at the table in the dim light at the border of dawn with your past looking back at you. You reach out but your past withdraws. “You cannot touch me,” it says, “I am always out of reach.” You take back your hand and sit facing your past. You ask why it is here. “I am always with you,” your past says. It gets up and walks around behind you- you turn your head but your past moves to the corner of your eye — a shadow glimpsed, always elusive. You sense its presence behind you, growing older moment by moment. When you look back across the table your future sits there with its back to you. You cannot see its face - http://howtosavetheworld.ca/2010/04/25/links-and-tweets-of-the-month-ap…

Quote 2388

To be a prospectivist, or futurist, you have to be a bit cheeky, nonconformist, and multidisciplinary - Michel Godet

Quote 2387

These days the present feels wrong. These days I feel wistful for the future, for moments of greater chaos when either we or our chlidren's children will look back and laugh aghast at what we chose today to dramatise, at our naive concerns about the world, at our tragicomic headlines (so quaint! so misguided!) and fear - Siona van Dijk http://howtosavetheworld.ca/2010/07/11/links-and-tweets-of-the-month-ju…

Quote 2386

The greatest loss of time is delay and expectation, which depend upon the future. We let go the present, which we have in our power, and look forward to that which depends upon chance, and so relinquish a certainty for an uncertainty - Seneca