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Part consultancy, part thinktank, part social enterprise, Halcyon helps you prepare for and respond to personal, organisational and societal change.

Halcyon's forthcoming 52:52:52 campaign on Twitter will help you address 52 issues with 52 responses over 52 weeks.

To be a catalyst is the ambition most appropriate for those who see the world as being in constant change, and who, without thinking that they control it, wish to influence its direction - Theodore Zeldin

What's Changing? - Economics



Please see below selected recent economic developments.


See also:


August 2018

  • 60 private-sector economists were recently surveyed by the Wall Street Journal, and their prediction is somewhat dire, noted Big Think. 59% of them say the economic expansion that began in 2009 after the Great Recession of 2008 took the wind out of the world’s economic sails will end in 2020. Another 22% pegged the year 2021
  • BRICS countries, particularly China and India, will continue to play a strong role in shaping the direction of the global economy, found EY. While GDP growth in China accelerated to 6.9% in 2017, it is projected to weaken slightly to 6.6% in 2018 owing to the lagged effect of financial regulatory tightening and softening of external demand. The IMF recently noted that a wide range of regulatory reforms reduced financial sector risks in China. For India, the IMF expects a growth rate of 7.3% in 2018 and 7.5% in 2019, making it the fastest-growing country among major economies.
  • Meanwhile, China’s economy showed more signs of slowing. Fixed-asset investment growth fell well short of expectations for the January-July period, as weakening domestic demand and faltering business confidence took their toll. Retail sales also missed expectations, rising 8.8% in July from a year earlier, below an expected 9.1%
  • GZEROMedia pointed to growing economic anxiety in China, where the economy has been slowing for years, in part by design, as the leadership shifts from heavy reliance on exports to a model fuelled by the spending of Chinese consumers. It hasn’t been a smooth process, and the state has recently had to inject more than $100 billion to keep the economy moving at a healthy pace.
  • Stock buybacks are ruining economies, warned Quartz, claiming that the transfer of trillions of dollars to shareholders increases inequality and reduces corporate investment.


July 2018


June 2018


May 2018


April 2018


March 2018


February 2018


January 2018


December 2017


November 2017


October 2017


September 2017


August 2017


July 2017