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Halcyon's 52:52:52 campaign on this site and on Twitter will start in 2021. It will help you address 52 issues with 52 responses over 52 weeks.

Part consultancy, part thinktank, part social enterprise, Halcyon helps you prepare for and respond to personal, organisational and societal change.

A Mundane Comedy is Halcyon's new book. Extracts will appear on this site and across social media from the beginning of 2021. Please get in touch with any questions about the book or related Halcyon services.

Halcyon monitors change for more than 150 key elements of life.

Climate

What may change in 2021?

2021

 

Please see below a range of 2021 outlooks and forecasts - grouped by topics including:

  • Climate, Conflict, Consumption, Demographics, Economics, Energy, Food, Freedom, Health, Innovation, Politics, Purpose, Risk, Space, Sustainability, Technology, Travel, Trade, Trust, Values and Work.

Please revisit this page regularly for updates throughout the early weeks of 2021 and see also:

 

CLIMATE

What's Changing? - Climate

Climate

 

Please see below recent climate-related change, including key developments regarding the UN Sustainable Development Goal 13 - Climate Action.

Imagine a ship that is sinking and needs all the available power to run the pumps to drain out the rising waters. The first class passengers refuse to cooperate because they feel hot and want to use the air-conditioner and other electrical appliances. The second-class passengers spend all their time trying to be upgraded to first-class status. The boat sinks and the passengers all drown. That is where the present approach to climate change is leading - Buddhist monk Matthieu Ricard

 

See also:

On Trees

Black Locust, Essex, May 2020

 

I wonder about the trees,” Robert Frost wrote. Monumental in size, alive but inert, they inhabit a different temporality than ours. Some species’ life spans can be measured in human generations. We wake to find that a tree’s leaves have turned, or register, come spring, its sturdier trunk. But such changes are always perceived after the fact. We’ll never see them unfold, with our own eyes, in human time.

CO2 levels in the atmosphere

"The MLO" is the Mauna Loa Observatory in Hawaii, USA. This is the famous but remote station where scientists have been measuring CO2 in the air for the longest time. Data at Mauna Loa produced the iconic Keeling Curve. The pioneering work of Charles David Keeling provided key, new insights about how the earth system works.

Atmospheric CO2

Quote 2213

My position on the climate is to avoid releasing pollutants into the atmosphere, regardless of current expert opinion. Climate experts, like banking risk managers, have failed us in the past in foreseeing long-term damage. This is an extension of my general belief: "Do not disturb a complex system." We do not know the consequences of our actions (this idea also makes me anti-war), and I have explicitly stated the need to leave the planet the way we got it - Nassim Taleb

Quote 2212

Imagine a ship that is sinking and needs all the available power to run the pumps to drain out the rising waters. The first class passengers refuse to cooperate because they feel hot and want to use the air-conditioner and other electrical appliances. The second-class passengers spend all their time trying to be upgraded to first-class status. The boat sinks and the passengers all drown. That is where the present approach to climate change is leading - Buddhist monk Matthieu Ricard