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Halcyon actively monitors change covering more than 150 key elements of life.

The 52:52:52 project, launching both on this site and on social media in early 2024 will help you address 52 issues with 52 responses over 52 weeks.

A Mundane Comedy is Dominic Kelleher's new book, which will be published in early 2024. The introduction is available here and further extracts will appear on this site in the coming months.

Climate

On Trees
Black Locust, Essex, May 2020
Halcyon In Kal… 27 November 2023

 

For me, trees have always been the most penetrating preachers. I revere them when they live in tribes and families, in forests and groves. And even more I revere them when they stand alone - Herman Hesse

As a member of The Woodland Trust, I regularly signed petitions to preserve ancient woodlands and unique trees. Does this make a difference? The battle is an ongoing one, but worth fighting, if necessary tree by tree.

What's Changing? - Climate

Submitted by Halcyon Impacts on 27 November 2023
Climate

 

Please see below recent climate-related change, including key developments regarding the UN Sustainable Development Goal 13 - Climate Action.

Imagine a ship that is sinking and needs all the available power to run the pumps to drain out the rising waters. The first class passengers refuse to cooperate because they feel hot and want to use the air-conditioner and other electrical appliances. The second-class passengers spend all their time trying to be upgraded to first-class status. The boat sinks and the passengers all drown. That is where the present approach to climate change is leading - Buddhist monk Matthieu Ricard

 

See also:

What May Change? - 2023
2023
Halcyon In Future 13 February 2023

 

Please see below a range of 2023 outlooks and forecasts, grouped by topic.

 

ALL TOPICS

What may change? - 2021
2021
Halcyon In Kal… 25 March 2021

 

Please see below a range of 2021 outlooks and forecasts, grouped across the following 21 topics.

  • Business, Climate, Conflict, Demographics, Economics, Energy, Food, Freedom, Health, Innovation, Nature, Politics, Purpose, Risk, Space, Sustainability, Technology, Travel, Trust, Values and Work.

There is also a bonus list of additional 2021 forecasts in appendix.

See also:

 

BUSINESS

CO2 levels in the atmosphere

Submitted by Halcyon Impacts on 24 April 2019

"The MLO" is the Mauna Loa Observatory in Hawaii, USA. This is the famous but remote station where scientists have been measuring CO2 in the air for the longest time. Data at Mauna Loa produced the iconic Keeling Curve. The pioneering work of Charles David Keeling provided key, new insights about how the earth system works.

Atmospheric CO2

Quote 2213

Submitted by halcyon.admin on 17 June 2013

My position on the climate is to avoid releasing pollutants into the atmosphere, regardless of current expert opinion. Climate experts, like banking risk managers, have failed us in the past in foreseeing long-term damage. This is an extension of my general belief: "Do not disturb a complex system." We do not know the consequences of our actions (this idea also makes me anti-war), and I have explicitly stated the need to leave the planet the way we got it - Nassim Taleb

Quote 2212

Submitted by halcyon.admin on 17 June 2013

Imagine a ship that is sinking and needs all the available power to run the pumps to drain out the rising waters. The first class passengers refuse to cooperate because they feel hot and want to use the air-conditioner and other electrical appliances. The second-class passengers spend all their time trying to be upgraded to first-class status. The boat sinks and the passengers all drown. That is where the present approach to climate change is leading - Buddhist monk Matthieu Ricard

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