Please see below selected recent conflict-related change.
These men, and those who opposed them
And those whom they opposed
Accept the constitution of silence
And are folded in a single party - from Little Gidding, T.S. Eliot
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August 2021
Please see below key recent developments concerning trade:
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March 2021
January 2021
Please see below a range of 2021 outlooks and forecasts, grouped across the following 21 topics.
There is also a bonus list of additional 2021 forecasts in appendix.
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During dark days of worsening refugee crises and increasing populism, can we still imagine reaching a state of "xenophilia"...overcoming our "homophily", i.e. the love of that which is like us, and reaching the love of that which is different?
Indeed, if we're ever going to care enough about conflict, genocide, poverty, hunger etc. enough to act on them properly, then we need to try much harder to avoid conflict with people we might not yet fully understand.
Living, as I have done for most of the past 17 years, just 5km or so from the battlefields of Waterloo, means that I have visited the site often.
Only recently, however, following last year's commemorations of the 200th anniversary of the battle, and a visit in March 2016 to the excellent new visitor centre, did its full ongoing significance become clearer to me, not least the suffering of the wounded and dead, many of whose final resting places have never been discovered...RIP all who fought there.
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"A Message for Mankind” brings together Charlie Chaplin’s famous speech from The Great Dictator and scenes of humanity’s most tragic and most hopeful moments in recent history, spanning everything from space exploration to street protests.
Halcyon curates the most significant conflict-related content from carefully selected sources. Please contact us if you'd like our help with conflict-related challenges.
Please see below recent megatrends-related change.
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It will cost $300 billion to rebuild Syria, according to the UN. Even as the carnage continues, Iran and Russia are already quietly waging an uncivil war to get in on those lucrative construction contracts, argued Eurasia Group in February 2018.
The next revolution - World War III - will be waged inside your head. It will be a guerrilla information war fought not in the sky or on the streets, not in the forests or even around the scarce resources of the earth, but in newspapers and magazines, on the radio, TV and in "cyberspace". It will be a dirty, no-holds-barred propaganda war of competing worldviews and alternative visions of the future - Marshall McLuhan, Culture is our Business, 1970