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Part consultancy, part thinktank, part social enterprise, Halcyon helps you prepare for and respond to personal, organisational and societal change.

Halcyon's forthcoming 52:52:52 campaign on Twitter will help you address 52 issues with 52 responses over 52 weeks.

To be a catalyst is the ambition most appropriate for those who see the world as being in constant change, and who, without thinking that they control it, wish to influence its direction - Theodore Zeldin

2016

What's Changing? - Society

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Please see below recent society-related change.

 

June 2018

  • Without succumbing to politically-motivated "Big Society" mantras, we can nevertheless realise that there is a huge untapped potential in civil society and the individuals within it. If we listened more to the surviving members of the "make do and mend" generation that got through the 1930s, WWII and its bleak aftermath, might we learn again not just self-sufficiency, but also a way of pulling together towards a common purpose? But what should that common purpose be anyway?  The fat years (for some) of recent times seemed to lead to increasing isolation from one another, as we retreated inside both our traditional brick and our new digital fortresses, so who is now going to articulate a non-utopian shared vision of what "getting better" should mean for society as a whole?

 

January 2018

  • What would it take to build a more just society? In contemporary debates about justice, identity is frequently front and centre, but the 20th-century American philosopher John Rawls thought that looking past identity was the key to more equality. In his book A Theory of Justice (1971), Rawls argued that if we could build a society from behind a ‘veil of ignorance’ that kept us from knowing anything about our identity, we would make choices resulting in a fairer society than we now have – one in which all would benefit from greater freedom and ‘fair equality of opportunity’.

 

See also:

2018

January 2018

 

2017

 

July 2017

Battling modern slavery - Raconteur
Buying time promotes happiness - PNAS
Future Workplace Special Report Published in The Times
How will you drive talent strategy in the digital age?
How work changed to make us all passionate quitters | Aeon Essays
Independent work: Choice, necessity, and the gig economy | McKinsey & Company
India is a migration superpower. Here's why | World Economic Forum
Jinfo Blog: Jinfo for knowledge management
Policymaking must become more empathetic rather than continuing its current overreliance on economic measures - LSE
Preparing for a new era of work | McKinsey & Company
Superfluid Labor Markets — Tapping Into Skilled Talent Anywhere and Everywhere - EYQ
The cost of universal basic income might be lower than you think | World Economic Forum
The Era of Ownership Is Ending - Futurism
The World's Broken Workplace | Gallup
These are the most peaceful countries in the world | World Economic Forum
This is how a universal basic income can end financial exclusion | World Economic Forum
Universal basic income could work in Southeast Asia — but only if it goes to women | Responsible Business
You might not believe it, but the world just got a bit more peaceful | World Economic Forum
Navigating through new forms of work | Deloitte University Press
Navigating the future of work | Deloitte University Press
The changing nature of careers in the 21st century | Deloitte University Press
Tom Friedman interview: Jobs, learning, and the future of work | Deloitte University Press
Workforce of the future - The competing forces shaping 2030:PwC

 

August 2017

 

Inadequate sleep costs employers $7 billion a year: How to look after your employees' wellbeing - Deloitte
The cost of universal basic income might be lower than you think | World Economic Forum
The future of jobs: is decent work for all a pipe dream? | Tim Jackson | Global Development Professionals Network | The Guardian
The rise of philanthropic investing - Raconteur

 

September 2017

 

'Inspirational' robots to begin replacing teachers within 10 years
British Social Attitudes: Record number of Brits with no religion
The 'internet of things' is sending us back to the Middle Ages
Why economic growth doesn't mean social progress | World Economic Forum

 

October 2017

 

Globalisation: what people think - Raconteur

 

November 2017

 

Companies That Lead on Societal Impact Reap Financial Benefits - BCG
IGP's Social Prosperity Network publishes the UK's first report on Universal Basic Services | UCL Institute for Global Prosperity - UCL - London's Global University
Refugees are not the creators of the crisis. They are the victims | World Economic Forum
Robots will drive us to rethink how work is distributed - FT
The 2017 Best for the World Honorees 846 Companies Leading the Way to a Shared and Durable Prosperity for All - BCorp
The progressive case for immigration - Free exchange
The rise of inequality: Can it be reversed? | LinkedIn
To fix income inequality, we need more than UBI—we need Universal Basic Assets — Quartz
What the future of work will mean for jobs, skills, and wages | McKinsey & Company
Women in the Workplace 2017 | McKinsey & Company

 

December 2017

 

10 Trends Shaping Migration - European Commission
AI isn't just taking away our privacy—it's take away free choice, too — Quartz
Inequality is a threat to our democracies - FT
What does your country think about globalization? | World Economic Forum
What the future of work will mean for jobs, skills, and wages: Jobs lost, jobs gained | McKinsey & Company
 

2016

October

 

September

 

August

 

July

 

May-June 

 

April

 

 

On Automation

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In the distant future, no one needs to work. Energy is available wherever people can set up a solar panel, windmill, or hydro-turbine. Artificial Intelligence (AI) units, distant descendants of today’s 3D printers, are capable of producing anything a person can program into them. Just by asking, anyone can have anything they want. People trade energy credits or donate energy to projects that interest them.

See for example HBR on "Computers Create Jobs and Inequality at the Same Time".

This is the post-labour economy imagined by today’s sci-fi writers. Indeed, science fiction has been speculating on what post-labour economies might look like for more than 100 years, In a post-labour economy, people don’t need to work in order to live or access goods. In fact, work has nothing to do with wealth or value.

On Leonard Cohen

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"So come, my friends, be not afraid.
We are so lightly here.
It is in love that we are made;
In love we disappear."

Happy posthumous birthday, Lenny.

You tried, in your way, to be free. Thank you. Now go join that great gig in the sky. So I wrote a year ago, when Lenny left us. However, the legend lives on - listen for example to How the Light Gets In.

'We Love Leonard Cohen' celebrated his 81st Birthday, and then, for his 82nd and final birthday, Leonard gave us a present. "You Want It Darker" is the title track to last album, his 14th studio album in his 49-year recording career. (See also Leonard Cohen Makes it Darker.)

"Leonard Cohen offers the possibility of living with grace, dignity, and integrity, without submitting to illusions, without succumbing to indifference, and without indulging in denial of our own failures and flaws, in a world that is too often corrupt and malevolent" - Allan Showalter

What's Happening? - China
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Halcyon In Business 1 November 2016

 

Please see below selected recent intelligence about China. This is a synthesis of major recent developments at corporates, business schools, thinktanks, media, commentators, and other key influencers.

 

Q3 (July-August-September) 2016 

 

  • The former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund warned that a slowdown in China is the greatest threat to the global economy, claiming that a "hard landing" for one of the main engines of global growth could not be ruled out.
  • However, China’s industrial profits jumped the most in three years. They rose 19.5% from a year ago to 534.8 billion yuan ($80.2 billion), according to the National Bureau of Statistics. The data suggests further stabilisation in manufacturing and a greater ability of companies to pay off debts.
  • Indeed, China’s economy grew by 6.7% in the second quarter, the same as in the previous three months and a healthier pace than many had expected given the country’s stock market crash and depreciation of the yuan. Investment in infrastructure has surged and personal consumption has been strong.
  • Although there is some suggestion that Chinese private sector is losing confidence in economic prospects, China’s producer price index was its least bad in four years. Government data tracking the cost of manufactured goods out the factory gate showed prices declined just 0.8% through the month of August, indicating that the flagging economy might be stabilizing. Consumer price inflation climbed 1.3%, slightly below July’s increase.
  • Yet China’s July economic data provided more evidence of a slowdown. Investment grew at its slowest pace in more than 16 years in the January-July period. Retail sales in July increased 10.2%, versus a forecast 10.5% and down from 10.6% in June. Industrial output for the month rose 6% from a year earlier, slowing from 6.2% in June and missing the forecast of 6.1%.
  • China’s “One Belt, One Road” project aims to make central Asia more connected to the world, yet even before the initiative was formally announced China had helped to redraw the energy map of the region. However, China is not the only investor in central Asian connectivity. Multilateral financial institutions, such as the Asian Development Bank, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development and the World Bank have long been investing in the region’s infrastructure. The Kazakh government has its own $9bn stimulus plan, directing money from its sovereign wealth fund to infrastructure investment. Other countries, including Turkey, the US, and the EU have also made improving Eurasian connectivity a part of their foreign policy. 

 

June 2016